Najjača košarkaška liga na svijetu i naša specijalnost :mrgreen:
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By nbaspecialtips
#129849 Ako ne bude teskih blowouta ne vidim kako ovo ispod moze biti minus:

J.Allen PT+REB [22.5] over 1.5u bet365@1.86; BKN

-You can also take him on PRA 24.5+ on the same margin on the bet365;
-This should be his 5th game starting, and when he is starting he plays 30 or more minutes;
-Before he was starting he averaged 9.6; 10.7 and 0.9; and now that he is starting he is averaging (in games started) 15.3; 11.3 and 2.8;
-Should be a close game as Denver is just a 1 point favorite;
-Should be a high scoring game as it's projected at 230 points;
-Denver allows good amount of points to opponent's centers as they try to close down the ball handler which leaves centers with more space in the paint and it helps Allen a lot here as he is not streching the floor and is always inside;

D.Murray PRA [29.5] over 1.25u; uni/all@1.84; SAS

-Already averages PRA of 28.5;
-Plays well, takes good amount of shots and also rebounds and assists with good rate as well;
-There is no DeRozan so he needs to step up in the offense;


L.Walker PRA [18.5] over 0.75u bet365@1.8; SAS

-Same margin as last time even though that in the game without DeRozan he went for 25-3-4 even though he left early;
-Margin is 2 points better than on betfair;
-DeRozan is still out and his 34 PRA has to go to someone;
-Walker can expect an increase in both usage rate and minutes;
-He is currently averaging PRA of 18 in 28.7 minutes played;
-He should play 30+ minutes and with better usage rate so should go over without much issues;

K.Durant PRA [42.5] over 1.5u; uni/all@1.85; BKN

-No Irving so Durant's usage rate should see a big increase (was 35% last game while it's usually bellow 30% when irving is playing);
-He should be taking 20+ shots, and also playmake a little bit as he often does.
-He is currently averaging PRA of 41.6! And now Irving is out- you would expect an increase of at least 5-6 points, but yet we are here on same margin we had him last time when he was an easy win.
-Against the OKC was his first game without irving and he had PRA of 51;
-I also wanted LeVert over 31.5 but didn't want 3 overs with high stakes from the same team;

H.Embiid PRA [40.5] over 1u bet365@1.8; PHI

-One point lower margin than on others, 5 points lower than yesterday;
-Embiid is projected to average PRA of 42.3 this season so 2 points above this margin and this isn't even the reason why we are taking him;
-Phila is without 6 players, most importantly Harris, Curry and Milton. They are averaging combined around 52 points together and now those points need to go somewhere and Embiid should benefit the most as the first attacking option;
-Miami is also without plenty of players: most importantly Adebayo is OUT and Leonard is GTD, so not much defense can be played against Embiid;
-It is a B2B game which were a problem for Embiid before as he was being rested in those, but he already played one set a week ago and in yesterday's game he played only 23 minutes (and managed to get PRA of 36 which is a crazy PRA per minutes ratio);

If you want to play it safer and not have to many bets from the same game, just play Embiid and don't play the two guys from bellow.

B.Simmons PRA [32.5] over 0.5u bet365@1.83; PHI

-Plenty of people in Phila who won't be able to play today, so Simmons should play more if the game is close and also have a bigger usage rate;
-He didn't play last night (wasn't even on the injury list originally so Phila got fined for resting him);
-Currently averages PRA of 29.2 and is projected to average 33.8;
-With so many people don't playing, he should have a wwell above average game today;
-One point better margin than on others;

T.Maxey PRA [24.5] over 0.5u bf/sb@1.8; PHI

-Everything is the same as for Simmons;
-Maxey had a huge game against Denver, then he had a good game with PRA of 25 last night. -He would easily go 30+ if there wasn't for a heavy BO, so he didn't played against after third quarter;
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By Darko1987
#129850 Jarrett Allen (BRO) 11,5 Over @1,85 Maxbet

Brooklyn vs Denver, 230pts granica, poena bi trebalo biti kao u priči, ja sam se odlučio "napasti" najslabiju kariku kod Nuggets-a, nadam se da i Steve Nash razmišlja u sličnom pravcu...

Allen prosječno zabija 11,6pts po meču, sezonu je krenuo sa klupe, ali zadnje 4 tekme je prebačen u startnih 5 i svaku je išao preko ove granice. Matchup je Jokić, ptice na grani znaju da je defanziva njegov najveći problem, posebno pick&roll, a Allen je po meni u top 5 igrača kada je u pitanju ovaj segment igre, izuzetan odraz i brzina nogu, to džoker neće moći pratiti. Pogledao sam malo highlights-e, pa i statistiku kako to Denver igra odbranu tj kako brane protivničke centre. Grant i Craig više nisu tu i to je veliki hendikep, pa i Plumlee za koga lično smatram da ne zaslužuje da igra NBA defanzivno je elita da sadašnju backup opciju
(Isaiah Hartenstein). Dovoljno je da se vide brojke i ovo što sam napisao postaje jasno kao dan (Robinson (NY) 11pts, Howard 11pts, Ayton 22pts, Holmes 20pts, Wood 23pts, Ibaka 15pts), svaki centar je probio svoj ovosezonski prosjek.

Harris će sigurno pritisnuti LaVert-a, tako da očekujem više saradnje u pick igri. KD će sigurno isporučiti svoju dozu šuteva, ali zna i on itekako nabaciti po neki alley opp. Allen je izuzetno aktivan na ofanzivnom skoku, očekujem i tip-in poene. Penale super izvodi a svaku tekmu je imao barem 1-2 izlazka na liniju slobodnih bacanja. Minutaža mu je prilično stabilna od kako je starter, igra oko 30 minuta.

Po meni jedina opasnost je moguć problem sa ličnim greškama jer ipak je džoker prva napadačka opcija Nuggets-a. Ako pogledamo malo unazad u prethodne 2 sezone odigrao je 4 meča protiv Jokića, i zanimljivo da ni jednom nije upao u probleme sa faulovima, a na svakom meču je išao debelo preko 11 poena (19pts, 17pts, 15pts, 18pts).

Sretno ako neko prati... ;)
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By baja papaja
#129856 Ja sam takodje igrao Allena, to mi je glavni tip veceras.

W. Barton under 13.5 uglavnom sve klad

Veceras ce njegov glavni zadatak biti da juri Duranta po terenu, koliko ce mu to uspeti ne znam ali sigurno je da ce se odraziti na igru u napadu jer pored toga sto mora da se daje maximalno u odbrani, mora da igra napad protiv KDa sto zna da bude izuzetno tesko. Takodje njegova igra ove sezone je zaista diskutabilna, sut spolja dosta slab, a u rotacijama u napadu mnogo cesce Harris i Milsap ostaju otvoreni na sutu nego Barton te lopta logicno ide njima dvojici. Iako je utakmica procenjena na visok broj poena, racunam da ce u ekipi Denvera Jokic i Murray ispaliti preko 40 suteva zajedno i ako Barton ne bude imao neki ludacki visok procenat nece prebaciti ovu granicu.
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By UcenikBGD
#129864
Darko1987 wrote:Jarrett Allen (BRO) 11,5 Over @1,85 Maxbet

Brooklyn vs Denver, 230pts granica, poena bi trebalo biti kao u priči, ja sam se odlučio "napasti" najslabiju kariku kod Nuggets-a, nadam se da i Steve Nash razmišlja u sličnom pravcu...

Allen prosječno zabija 11,6pts po meču, sezonu je krenuo sa klupe, ali zadnje 4 tekme je prebačen u startnih 5 i svaku je išao preko ove granice. Matchup je Jokić, ptice na grani znaju da je defanziva njegov najveći problem, posebno pick&roll, a Allen je po meni u top 5 igrača kada je u pitanju ovaj segment igre, izuzetan odraz i brzina nogu, to džoker neće moći pratiti. Pogledao sam malo highlights-e, pa i statistiku kako to Denver igra odbranu tj kako brane protivničke centre. Grant i Craig više nisu tu i to je veliki hendikep, pa i Plumlee za koga lično smatram da ne zaslužuje da igra NBA defanzivno je elita da sadašnju backup opciju
(Isaiah Hartenstein). Dovoljno je da se vide brojke i ovo što sam napisao postaje jasno kao dan (Robinson (NY) 11pts, Howard 11pts, Ayton 22pts, Holmes 20pts, Wood 23pts, Ibaka 15pts), svaki centar je probio svoj ovosezonski prosjek.

Harris će sigurno pritisnuti LaVert-a, tako da očekujem više saradnje u pick igri. KD će sigurno isporučiti svoju dozu šuteva, ali zna i on itekako nabaciti po neki alley opp. Allen je izuzetno aktivan na ofanzivnom skoku, očekujem i tip-in poene. Penale super izvodi a svaku tekmu je imao barem 1-2 izlazka na liniju slobodnih bacanja. Minutaža mu je prilično stabilna od kako je starter, igra oko 30 minuta.

Po meni jedina opasnost je moguć problem sa ličnim greškama jer ipak je džoker prva napadačka opcija Nuggets-a. Ako pogledamo malo unazad u prethodne 2 sezone odigrao je 4 meča protiv Jokića, i zanimljivo da ni jednom nije upao u probleme sa faulovima, a na svakom meču je išao debelo preko 11 poena (19pts, 17pts, 15pts, 18pts).

Sretno ako neko prati... ;)


Nista od pritiskanja Laverta. Haris ne igra veceras.
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By Darko1987
#129866
UcenikBGD wrote:
Nista od pritiskanja Laverta. Haris ne igra veceras.

Vidio sam, nadam se da Morris upada u startnu, u suprotnom ako ga Murrey bude branio LaVert bi mogao samo koš gledati. :idea:

EDIT: Lineup note: Nets will start Brown, Harris, Durant, Green, Allen on Tuesday.
LaVert sa klupe kreće, dobar info baš, sada u ovoj petorci Allen je druga napadačka opcija.