Najjača košarkaška liga na svijetu i naša specijalnost :mrgreen:
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By nbaspecialtips
#130106 bet365

Roby PRA 15.5+ 2.5u

Prosli put sam ga planiro igrat na 17.5 i jak bet.. sad ga spustili za dva poena haha
Momak lagano isao PRA 20+ svaki put kad Horford nije igro.
Veceras na Jokica, trebalo bi biti tu nekih poena.. i kad si glavni centar onda mora biti i skokova. Momak moze opalit i tricu, ne moze Jokic izaci da ga cuva, ako izadje na SGA otvara se prostor ka obrucu... kako god- Roby bi trebo imati dobro vece.. jedino se bojim faulova,

Sinoc sam postavio Adebaya pra over za 2u.. to je trebao biti 2.5 ili 3u bet, jer je zajedno sa GRantom (s pocetka sezone) i Howardom od nekidan, bio najjaci bet ove sezone, nego eto muda se povukla pa sam samo 2u (posto je bio i robinson 1.5u da ne bude previse unitsa na jednom timu). Da ne duzim- ovaj bet mi djeluje dobro koliko i Adebayo juce
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By Kosarkaski amater
#130107
nbaspecialtips wrote:bet365

Roby PRA 15.5+ 2.5u

Prosli put sam ga planiro igrat na 17.5 i jak bet.. sad ga spustili za dva poena haha
Momak lagano isao PRA 20+ svaki put kad Horford nije igro.
Veceras na Jokica, trebalo bi biti tu nekih poena.. i kad si glavni centar onda mora biti i skokova. Momak moze opalit i tricu, ne moze Jokic izaci da ga cuva, ako izadje na SGA otvara se prostor ka obrucu... kako god- Roby bi trebo imati dobro vece.. jedino se bojim faulova,

Sinoc sam postavio Adebaya pra over za 2u.. to je trebao biti 2.5 ili 3u bet, jer je zajedno sa GRantom (s pocetka sezone) i Howardom od nekidan, bio najjaci bet ove sezone, nego eto muda se povukla pa sam samo 2u (posto je bio i robinson 1.5u da ne bude previse unitsa na jednom timu). Da ne duzim- ovaj bet mi djeluje dobro koliko i Adebayo juce

Ispraceno doktore.
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By nbaspecialtips
#130121 Savjetujem da O'Neala odigrate na bet365 pa da mozete cashback odradit *ako zelite) ukoliko ce ingles igrat

I.Roby PRA [16.5] over 2.5u bet365/sb/bf/uni@1.9; OKC

-Was on 15.5 for some time, but got changed to 16.5 later;

Probably the best bet of the season (together with Bam last night, first WCS rebounds bet and first few Grant bets), and I will try to explain why:
-Dude is averaging PRA of 14.6 this season while playing 18.7 minutes on average. Last game against Phila where he had a much harder match up, his line was 17.5 and it was a great bet then as well, and now we are getting a better line and also better odds!?
-With Horford still being OUT, Roby will be playing much more than 18 minutes. In the 3 games when Horford wasn't playing Roby was geting 28 minutes (small pf issue, would probably play 30 otherwise), 24 against Lakers (heavy blowout, left with 5 min to go, so would probably have around 30 min again), 26 minutes against Bulls- PF trouble, then fouling out);
-In these 3 games he had PRA's of 26 against Orlando; 24 against lakers, and 21 against Bulls;
-If he keeps his average PRA to minutes ratio, and plays 28 minutes this game, he would be projected at PRA of 22.
-He is way more faster than Jokic, but at same time he can actually stretch the floor somewhat, forcing Jokic to come out after which he has plenty of options to do something useful.
-Also, with Jokic coming out in p'n'r to pressure the ball handler, he leaves more space for the centers to go straight to the rim (in case SGA or Hill can dish out a good pass for Roby);
-Some examples of centers doing well against Denver from the recent few games: Gobert scored 15 while averaging 12; Wiseman 18 while averaging 10 (he played 7 min more tbf), Robinson 11 while averaging 8.5; Howard 11 while averaging 7 etc;
-BO is a danger ofc, but he could end up playing some minutes in BO as well as he did just that against Lakers- 4 minutes in the last quarter;
-Unlike many other players, he coming into the starting line up actually increases his usage/shooting rate as he gets to play with SGA/Hill who can create for him, and his shots are also better and less forced;
-Denver has bellow average pace this season, but are in the top 5 worst defenses;

R.O'Neal PRA [15.5] over 0.75u uni/bet365@1.88; UTA

-He is averaging PRA of 17.9 so almost 3 points higher than the line;
-He is rebounding very well and also assisting a lot;
-He isn't taking plenty of shots, but the shots he takes are usually open 3s, and he is hitting them at 48% rate this season. That should be very useful thing today when he goes against Pelicans as Zion isn't that fast or commited in closing down his man on 3pt line;
-Ingles might not play today. If that happens this will be a big boost for the bet;

L.Ball PRA [20.5] over 0.75u bet365@1.83; NOP

Didn't plan to play him, but had to take him after I saw this line.
-He had issues with pain in the knee so he missed the last 3 games, but it was something that was bothering him for some time and this was just to rest the knee- it wasn't an injury that happened in the last game or anything like that;
-He is averaging PRA of 21.1 so just above the margin, but he can do much better;
-Last season he was averaging 25 PRA while playing 32 minutes, and this season Pelicans have Bledsoe instead of Holiday so Ball should actually be having better numbers;
-His projected PRA (by rotowire) for this season is 26.4;
-He has 6 overs in 9 games played on this line;

M.Muscala PRA [12.5] over 0.75u bet365@1.86; OKC

-Surprising margin considering that he already averages PRA of 12.6 this season and today OKC is playing without Horford so Muscala could end up playing several minutes more, especially if Roby get's into PF trouble;
-Muscala will be starting from the bench and playing with the second unit so he should get more touches and also play close to the rim which should secure him decent number of defensive rebounds;
-In 3 games without Horford he had 17, 12 (heavy blowout) and 21;


N.Jokic PRA [44.5] over 1u bet/all@1.8; DEN

-Averaging PRA of 46.7 this season;
-He is taking more shots, but also very importantly he kept his PO shooting % when it comes to 3s
-Main reason for taking him is that Horford is OUT. OKC is playing with Roby on 5, and without a good back up, and Jokic is simply way stronger than anyone who will be guarding him, and even if they double him, he is a great passer, so he will be able to pump out assist numbers so possesions won't go to waste;
-Besides a very easy match up, it is very important to say that Murray, who is the second attacking option, will have a hard match up both ways, just like Harris and Barton will in the offense as all 3 (SGA, Dort and Hill) can play good defense, especially Dort;


L.Dort PRA [16.5] over 0.75u uni/bet@1.83; OKC

-Averages PRA of 17.4 this season;
-No Horford so it should be easier to get some extra defensive rebounds;
-Denver plays very bad defense this season;
-Fantasy tool on rotoworld projects him at 34 minutes today and PRA of 22.
-Last game he played 40 min, 35 in regular time; Game before that it was 25 minutes but heavy BO so he didn't played in the last quarter- if he did it would be an over 30 min game again.. so based in these, I think its safe to assume that he will play at least close to 30 min, but potentially even more, up to 35 if they game is close and he is doing his job well;

W.Barton [13.5] under 0.75u unibet/1xbet@1.78; DEN

-He is on 12.5 elsewhere;
-Plays worse in the first unit as he goes against better defense and is having a much smaller usage rate as there are already better guys who can do the job in the offense;
-He is averaging 11.3 points this season; While he was on the bench average was 12.3, since he is starting his average is only 10.9;
-OKC has an above average defense and average pace;
-He is going against super good defender so he should have an extremely hard time in the offense as long as Dort is on him;
-Possible BO would surely help here;
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By Darko1987
#130129 Nikola Jokić (DEN) Triple Double @2,60 Bet365

Šta reći za džokera, fantastičan start sezone, radi sve kod Nuggets-a, ozbiljan kandidat za MVP nagradu, da ima ozbiljnije saigrače vrijedilo bi uložiti novac, ostaje da vidimo šta će nam sezona donijeti.

Večeras tekma protiv OKC, na papiru to bi trebao biti lagan posao, ali Shai i ekipa pokazali da imaju karakter (prije par dana nadoknadili 15-ak razlik protiv Bulls-a u zadnjih 4-5 min), tako da ih ne treba otpisati.

Džoker u prosjeku ima sve 3 kolone dvocifrene, al’ dosta puta je ostao kratak za skok ili asistenciju (4 puta) a na 13 odigranih tekmi 5 puta je kompletirao TD.

Za ovu tekmu Bet je postavio granicu skokova 11,5 što po automatizmu ima veliku vrijednost jer njega i 10 skokova “radi”. Tu ne bi trebalo biti problema jer OKC nema “mesa” pod košem, ocekujem dominaciju na oba kraja terena u ovom segmentu igre jer većinu akcija će završavati bekovi, veliku većinu tih promašaja kupi Nikola.

Asistencije će biti ključne ovde, granica za je na 8,5 al’ to plaćaju bijednih 1,64. Opet iz razloga što OKC nema pravi odgovor na postu siguran sam da će često ići udvajanje, džoker će uredno dijeliti te lopte na spoljne igrače, ostaje da se nadamo da ovi neće bacati cigle?! :roll:

Tekma na 220pts, OKC ekipa koja nema defanzivni potencijal u reketu ni na poziciji 5 a ni na 4, očekujem jednu partiju u kojoj će džoker da dominira u svim segmentima igre.

Sretno ako neko prati... ;)
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By Samoprozvanikraljnba
#130135
Darko1987 wrote:Nikola Jokić (DEN) Triple Double @2,60 Bet365

Šta reći za džokera, fantastičan start sezone, radi sve kod Nuggets-a, ozbiljan kandidat za MVP nagradu, da ima ozbiljnije saigrače vrijedilo bi uložiti novac, ostaje da vidimo šta će nam sezona donijeti.

Večeras tekma protiv OKC, na papiru to bi trebao biti lagan posao, ali Shai i ekipa pokazali da imaju karakter (prije par dana nadoknadili 15-ak razlik protiv Bulls-a u zadnjih 4-5 min), tako da ih ne treba otpisati.

Džoker u prosjeku ima sve 3 kolone dvocifrene, al’ dosta puta je ostao kratak za skok ili asistenciju (4 puta) a na 13 odigranih tekmi 5 puta je kompletirao TD.

Za ovu tekmu Bet je postavio granicu skokova 11,5 što po automatizmu ima veliku vrijednost jer njega i 10 skokova “radi”. Tu ne bi trebalo biti problema jer OKC nema “mesa” pod košem, ocekujem dominaciju na oba kraja terena u ovom segmentu igre jer većinu akcija će završavati bekovi, veliku većinu tih promašaja kupi Nikola.

Asistencije će biti ključne ovde, granica za je na 8,5 al’ to plaćaju bijednih 1,64. Opet iz razloga što OKC nema pravi odgovor na postu siguran sam da će često ići udvajanje, džoker će uredno dijeliti te lopte na spoljne igrače, ostaje da se nadamo da ovi neće bacati cigle?! :roll:

Tekma na 220pts, OKC ekipa koja nema defanzivni potencijal u reketu ni na poziciji 5 a ni na 4, očekujem jednu partiju u kojoj će džoker da dominira u svim segmentima igre.

Sretno ako neko prati... ;)

Samo zelim da kazem koliko dobra analiza...sve pogođeno...i dominacija u low post tako da ko je igrao over sk i pts doslo mu sam tip nije dosao zbog ast ali analiza 100% tacna ,svaka cast
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By Darko1987
#130154
Samoprozvanikraljnba wrote:
Darko1987 wrote:Nikola Jokić (DEN) Triple Double @2,60 Bet365

Samo zelim da kazem koliko dobra analiza...sve pogođeno...i dominacija u low post tako da ko je igrao over sk i pts doslo mu sam tip nije dosao zbog ast ali analiza 100% tacna ,svaka cast

Šta da kažem, ja prosto ne razumijem neke trenere u NBA, konkretno ovog buzdovana iz OKC. Od samog starta lopta pod koš, Jokić onog malog na leđa i njega i loptu kroz obruč ugura, promašio je samo par trica na kojima je bio sam kao duh, i 1-2 dvojke ali to je pokupio te lagano tip-in. Game plan nula, ma kakva nula, ja nemam riječ, pa klinac od 8 godina prvi put da je gledao onu tekmu shvatio bi da se odbrana na najboljem igraču protivnika mora mijenjati.
I još jedna stvar je bila ključna, u 5-6 situacija Jokić nalazi slobodnog saigraca, ovaj umjesto da šutne ide extra pas, posebno mi je upalo u oci situacija kad džoker baca pas preko čitavog terena za polaganje Burton-u koji gle čuda ostavlja loptu za Harris-a. I na sve to blow out, prosto nije bilo ni sreće. Al’ opet ponavljam Game plan OKC čista nula, najboljeg igrača onako braniti, sramota!!!