Najjača košarkaška liga na svijetu i naša specijalnost :mrgreen:
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By Samoprozvanikraljnba
#130622 John Wall 20.5 over
Bet365

Najbrzi igrac uz Fox u nba poslije tragicne karijere u wsh trazio je trejd i dobio ga je u Houston...odmah u prvim mecevima se vidjelo da grize da je gladan igre i da ima raznovrstqn reportar u napadu...veceras nema dva konkuretna za napad oladipo i wood tako da ce Wall uzeti minimum 20 lopti cuvari su mu brunson ,hardway ili burke...sve ih moze probijati sa lakoćom...ovde moze samo neki rani BO da ostavi ga under ali Hou ove sezone tako lako ne dobija BO pogotovo ne rani ...derbi Texasa nece bas biti bez energije...
Last edited by Samoprozvanikraljnba on 23 Jan 2021, 22:50, edited 1 time in total.
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By Samoprozvanikraljnba
#130625 Ellington over 9.5 tipico


Veceras nema Griffina,Rose...
A ivom decku sa savršenom rukom za sut sa linije 7 25 ostavlja mnogo minuta i mnogo lopti...zadnje 4 utak

26 min 9 pts miami
27 min 24 pts miami
33 min 16 pts Atlanta
32 min 18 pts Houston


Fila je bas losa na branjenje vanjskih igraca drvo smart im da dve trojke bez ugraca na sebi kemba ih razdvaja kao vruc noz kroz maslac...osim ako fila ne povede 30 razlike do pola 3/4 ovo mora da predje
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By nbaspecialtips
#130635 N.Jokic [21.5] over 1.75u tab/uni/bet365@1.8; DEN

Starting with 1.8 on Tab- he is on lower odds on other bookies or higher margin;
-He is averaging 25.5 points this season! 4 more than this margin.
-He has only 4 unders in 15 games;
-He already played yesterday against the Suns and managed to score 27 in the regular time (31 total);

J.Grant PRA [30.5] over 2u neds/lads@1.87; DET

(sb/bf@1.91 at 32.5; if you take this one don't play more than 1.5);
-Averages PRA of 35.6 since the second game;
-No Griffin and no Rose so Grant will be able to do whatever he wants, and will probably end up taking huge number of shots, maybe even around 25.
-Without Griffin he moves to 4 so it should be easier for him to get a rebound or two more than what he gets usually. He should also pick up more assists as Griffin plays the point forward which averages more than 4 assists;
-It is a B2B game for Grant, just like it is for Phila, but Grant is a young stud that who doesn't have issues with b2b sets- in the first set he played 38 and then 37 (two days before it he played 43 against Cleveland)/ In the second set he played 34 minutes in each of the two games.
-With Griffin out he might have to play few minutes more, and with the increased usage rate, anything bellow 20 shots will be surprising; add to that 7-8 rebounds and few assists, and he should easily get PRA of 30+ even if he plays only 3 quarters.
-BO shouldn't happen as Phila might be without Embiid. He didn't played in second half of B2B sets, and it seems like he has small back issues... but even if BO happens, Grant plays full first and third quarter so he should play 30+ minutes even with a huge blowout.

D.Wright PRA [18.5] over 1.25u bet365@1.83; DET

-Started the season by mostly playing from the bench. If we exclude the game against Cavs, he was averaging less than 20 minutes per game. Then Hayes got injured and Wright was starting.
-Detroit doesn't have a real PG, so they are using Wright as one, which increases his usage rate because he plays much more with the ball.
-Since Hayes got injured, Wright is starting and averaging 28.5 minutes per game which is a huge boost.
-Reason to take him today is that Rose and Griffin are out.
-Griffin being out should increase Wright's usage rate by a decent amount, and so should Rose being out, but what is more important about Rose missing this game is that Wright should end up playing more, probably over 30 minutes (around 35 minutes if the game is close);
-Since starting he is averaging a PRA of close to 16 in 28 minutes played. With a big increase in playing time and also a bigger usage rate, he should probably get to 20 or higher.

W.Elington [9.5] over 1.75u neds/lads@1.75; DET

(tipico 9,5; 1.9$; If you have Tipico play him on 2 units); he is 11.5 on bf/sb with normal odds (1u bet), and others have him on 11.5 with lower odds on over, so a really nice value here.
-He is already averaging 11.4 points in 21.7 minutes played on average (has a game where he played less than 1 min). In the last 4 games he played almost 30 on average, and averaged almost 17 points;
-If we exclude the game where he played less than 1 minute, his points average is 12.6, so already above this line.
-He is starting, there is no Griffin and no Rose, so he should get few more looks than usual, and at the same time he should play more as Pistons besides him and Wright don't have a real guard who isn't on two-way contract.


M.Beasley alt points [20+] over 1u neds/lads@1.87; MIN
M.Beasley rebounds [5.5] under 0.5u sb/bf@1.8; MIN

-You can also play him 20.5 over on points for 0.75, but if you have Neds or lads go and play him there under player points market "to score 20+". Odds will surely go down soon.
-There is no Russell today and Rubio should come back. Beasley should be taking more shots, could easily end up taking 20 today, and he should also get better looks as Rubio is a better passer and creator than Russell will ever be;
-Regarding the rebounds: He is averaging 4.4 this season; Has 5 overs in 14 games (interestingly, 2 of the overs were when Towns played, and in the other two games he had 4 rebounds); If BO happens, it will help more (I am not counting on BO because of the points bet, but we should be able to see two wins here even with blowout;

J.Brunson [13.5] over 0.75 bf/sb@1.83; DAL

-Playing well since starting- 31, 13 (blowout), 19 and 16 points and playing around 35 minutes on average if there are no blowouts (27-28 in blowout games)
-Averages 12.5 points this season while playing only 22 minutes on average, so with a 40-50% increase in playing time, he should also average at least 2-3 points more;
-Good opponent for over. With Wall playing for Houston there should be more running and more chances for Brunson from transition.


J.Wall PRA [32.5] over 1u bet365@1.83; HOU

-He was averaging PRA of 28.5 this season while playing 34 minutes on average;
-In each of those 7 games Harden played, and Wood played in 6 of those;
-With Harden being traded away, and Oladipo not playing tonight, Wall should be very busy in the offense. Will probably end up taking around 20 shots, and also getting around 10+ RA.
-We are going with only 1u as there is a decent chance of blowout, so we want to play it safer;

D.Cousins PRA [26.5] over 0.75u bet365@1.83; HOU

-I was choosing between him and Gordon for today, and while I expect Gordon to also score 20+ points and go over, I don't want to have 3 players form same team and be scared of blowout;
-I took Cousins because he managed to play 33 minutes yesterday, and that's a good sign. This season he is averaging 15.3 PRA in 15 minutes played, so roughly 1 pra per minute played.
-Yesterday he had PRA of 27, but what is important- he took 16 shots! He managed to mix almost all of them, but that shouldn't happen again as he is a decent 3pt shooter for a center, and also has a good midrange.
-Even with his injury history, he is way stronger than Porzingis or WCS and can bully them in the post if he chooses to do so.

J.Wiseman PT+Reb [17.5] under 0.75u sb/bf@1.83; GSW

-He is averaging PR of 17.5 this season, but has only 6 overs in 15 games played;
-Today he is going against Gobert who is the best defender on C position, so Wiseman should be having a bellow average game today, so if average is right on the margin, he should stay under;
-Funny thing there is that if you have Neds, you can play a very nice middle: he is on 16.5 PRA there and he can surely dish an assist or two, meaning that you effectively have a 3 points difference.


K.Olynyk PRA [19.5] under 0.75 uni/sb/bf@1.84; MIA

-Averaging PRA of 18.5 this season in 28 minutes played. If we exclude the two games without Adebayo, it goes down to 17.5;
-Last 4 games since Adebayo is playing, Olynik is on 24,25, 28 and 21 minutes, getting PRAs of 8, 15, 29 and 4.
-Durant is coming back for Nets, fresh, and Nets are huge favorites here so there is a big chance for a blowout in which case Olynyk would play even less
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By Darko1987
#130650 Zach LaVine (CHI) 24,5 Over @1,88 BETONLINE

Chicago za mene ove sezone igra iznad očekivanja, samo prva 2 meča su glatko izgubili, ostalo sve na jednu loptu. Posebno su me kupili kada su imali b2b protiv “teškaša” iz LA.

Posebno me iznenadio Zach, ako ovako nastavi All star ga ne može zaobići. Pored dobre forme ja sam ga uzeo večeras najviše iz razloga što se ovih dana provlači informacija da ga upravo LAL žele u svojim redovima, a i sam LaVine je više puta izjavio da obožava Kinga te da mu je san zaigrati sa njim u istom timu. Večeras savršena prilika, i siguran sam da će forsirati.

U prvom sudaru Zach bio odličan, za 38 minuta ubacio 38pts. Gledao sam malo skraćeni video sa tog meča, prilično lagano je izlazio na kraj sa svojim čuvarima. LA jako dobro brani unutrašnju igru gdje svjesno protivniku dozvoljavaju šut sa distance, to sam primijetio protiv Bucks-a prije 2 dana, Jrue i Middleton su ih prilično kažnjavali u tim situacijama.

King je upitan, ukoliko ne nastupi to je po meni jedan velik plus jer sa takvim omjerom snaga ovu tekmu bi Bulls-i mogli uzeti, al’ u svakom slučaju ja večeras očekujem da Zach zapne iz petnih žila, šampioni dolaze koji su usput opasno zagrijani za njegove usluge, u paklenoj je formi, povoljan Matchup, ma svi uslovi za 25+ partiju su tu...
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By Darko1987
#130656 James Harden (BRO) 24,5 Under @1,89 BETONLINE

Trio fantastico i večeras zajedno na terenu, ja uzimam debelog bradonju under. Prilično su se obrukali u ovom dvomeču sa Cavs-ima, KD drugi nije ni igrao, al’ činjenica je da će se morati dobro potruditi da to sve štima, posebno zabrinjava defanziva.

Uzeo sam bradu najviše iz razloga što on ovde nije prva napadačka opcija, i njemu se traži uloga po meni da on bude glavni razigravač tima, dok Irving i KD isključivo gledaju koš.

Večeras im dolazi Miami koji ima problema sa povredama, Dragić mi nije u nekoj formi, sinoć su lagano pukli 20 razlike od Raptors-a i nije isključen scenario da ih Brooklyn večeras pregazi.

KD odmoran i od njega najviše očekujem poenterski, Irving siluje do iznemoglosti, tako da po meni Harden tek treća opcija u napadu. Nije u nekoj formi, i večeras ga ja vidim bliže triple double nego nekoj 25+ tekmi.
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By nbaspecialtips
#130666 Mnogo ne odigranih betova danas... gobert+ bridges + carter 4.5+ adams pra 22.5+ barton 12+ (ako ne igra murray) Gordon 19.5+ Johnson pra 17.5+... Evo 3 late night beta:

C.Paul [15.5] over 0.75u neds/lads/uni/all@1.91; PHO

-No Booker;
-CP is expected to have a much higher usage rate; Those 23 points that Booker was scoring have to go somewhere, and majority will go to Paul and Ayton.

D.Ayton PRA [29.5] over 1.25u neds/lads1.87; PHO


(you can also take him on points alone 17.5+ on bet365 or neds);
-No Booker; Ayton is the guy the benefits with the highest usage rate increase when Booker is off the floor;
-He played two games against Denver this season, 27 and 22 points in those (Boooker played in both);
-Booker plays almost all games, so not a big sample, but last season there was a one game where Booker was OUT (Suns didn't had CP3 as floor general) and Ayton scored 18 in only 22 minutes);
-Seems like a good match up for Ayton;

W.Cauley-Stein PRA [18.5] over 2u bet365@1.76; DAL

-Porzingis not playing;
-WCS is about to play huge minutes today as Dallas doesn't have many options, only 3 players for 4 and 5.
-WCS is already averaging PRA of 13 in 18 minutes played. With double the playing time he should get more than 25+ PRA;
-Also, not having Porzingis on 4 should mean its much easier to get defensive rebounds;
-Dallas is, besides Porzingis, also without Powell, Finney-Smith and Kleber.
-Johnson over 17.5 PRA is also very good;
-Good match up in offense;