Najjača košarkaška liga na svijetu i naša specijalnost :mrgreen:
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By The Process1991
#130683 A. Drummond (18.5) manje
Germania

Dolaskom Allena Drummond je izgubio na minutazi i na ovlastima u ekipi,cak je nekidan Allen igrao i cijele produzetke tako da, polako pocinje preuzimati jedinicu na poziciji centra. S druge strane ceka ih Boston koji je dolaskom Thompsona dobio dobrog individualnog obrambenog igraca,dosadasnjih sezona su ih uvijek trpali centri no ove sezone su na prosjeku u branjenju te pozicije,naravno centri poput Embiida ga svejedno trpaju jer mu ne moze parirati visinom i fizikalijama,ali ne moze nitko u ligi,ali Drummond nije neka ofanzivna zvijer. Vratio se i Garland i Sexton a granica od 18-19 poena je ostala ista tako da,mislim da je pretjerana za nekih 2 poena minimalno
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By Samoprozvanikraljnba
#130684 Randle over 22.5 kasnije cu editovati sa analizom

Alfa i omega ekipe iz NY najbolji skorer ove sezone sa 22 poena,najbolji skakac 11 u prosjeku i pazite najbolji je asistent u svojoj ekipi cak 6.2 ast po mecu svaki suigrac u bilo kojoj kategoriji je za 2 poena nizi u prosjeku.. uz to ima i najvise vremena provedenih na parketu 37 min po mecu, Tibodo ih je preporodio top 1 ekipа u nba po dopustenim poenima 102 po mecu naravno to je jer im je pace na 96 to jest broj posjeda koju uzima njihov protivnik, tj NY igra duge napade i ovima ostaje samo 96 napada po mecu a uz to dozvole 86 suteva samo, po oba faktora su prva ekipa u nba ...Tibodo je isto poznat kao trener kojem glavni igraci igraju dok ne umru na terenu(tako je unistio rose) match up mu je suplji reket bez Nurkica u Portlandu ...koga god da stavi Randle ako ne bude isao sut unijece ih na low post ...Covingoton,Mello nemaju kila Giles nema brzinu u nogama da ga isprate,Kanter pliva u deffu ...uzece preko 20 suteva od toga 4-5 trojki...ima svu slobodu od toga da se uvali u desni ugao i ceka za tri ili back door pass do toga da ode od kosa do kosa..
Last edited by Samoprozvanikraljnba on 24 Jan 2021, 15:44, edited 1 time in total.
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By The Process1991
#130693 N. Vucevic (24.5) manje
mozzart
Ispravaka, 24.5 je na mozzartu
Prvo i prvo ne volim ujutro igrati igrace manje bas zbog tih izostanaka ali ako neka vijest dode da netko ne igra iz orlanda moze se isplatiti,makar za ovu okladu neki izostanak orlanda jos vise ide u prilog tome a o tome naknadno.
Mozda cete misliti da sam lud sto igram vucevica manje kada je u takvoj formi ali ova moja analiza nema veze s granicom a niti s time sto se vratio fournier. Bas suprotno,ako nece igrati furnier ili ako se odmara nekog, tip mozda jos i vise dobija na vrijednosti jer Charllote voli eliminirati glavnog igraca neke ekipe,slicno ko i Toronto. Ako ne zaigra neko iz orlanda to znaci da ce se charlotte koncentrirati samo na vucevica. Ovako sam se dvoumio izmedu vucevica i fourniera, cak imaju vise raspolozenih igraca za cuvanje fournieera u vidu roziera ili haywarda,no ipak sam misljenja da je vucevic glavni igrac orlanda kojeg treba zaustaviti. Evo za primjer embiid jedini undere dosad ima protiv charlotte i to dva puta,mozda i jos koji al manje bitno. Jos od nekih bitnijih faktora u u svojim momcadima,igrali su protiv clevelanda i drummond lagani under i memphis valincunas under,ostalo vise manje sa centrima koji su 4-5 opcije u momcadi. Tako da,ono, mozda sam lud sto igram to al koliko sam pratio charlotte vole eliminirati glavne igrace.
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By The Process1991
#130718 M. Brogdon (22.5) manje
Shai (19.5) vise
Supersport i bet365

Tu se opet dvoumim izmedu Brogdona i Sabonisa jer Torontno igra cvrsto na glavnog igraca. AL cak mislim da igraju agresivnije na bekove kada je glavni protivnicki igrac bek nego sto igraju na visoke igrace. Prosle godine sam isao stalno s visokima zbog Gasola,sada ga nema, i baynes igra jako malo a Boucher nije sada nega defanzivna sila,al kao sto velim, Toronto igra agresivno na bekove i pokusavaju neutralizirati glavne protivncike igrace pa se namece Brogdon kao glavni tip.
Shai,igrao sam ga i proslu protiv njih,stavio sam analizu takoder,zabio je 31 s time da je krenuo lose u utakmicu i utakmica je bila rano rijesena. clieppersi na papiru izgledaju jaka obrambena ekipa ali u praksi to ne izgleda tako,vjerojatno nemaju ni previse volje u regularnoj sezoni trositi snagu na obranu al ce im se to mozda ponovno obiti o glavu u playoffu. Ugl,Shai glavni igrac svoje ekipe,ide ispod samo protiv jakih obrambenih ekipa i ekipa koje dobro cuvaju reket zbog tih njegovih ulaza i polaganja, Clippersi nisu neka ekstra momcad koja bi branila ulaze tako da,over
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By Playmaker
#130733 Cole Anthony under 11.5 poena @ 1,83 Bet365

Image

Cole Anthonya i njegov Orlando Magic ocekuje teška borba sa veoma defanzivno orijentiranom ekipom,
Charlotte ove godine igra veoma dobru obranu, trenutno osma obrana lige sa 0.967 PPP. 108.8 primljena poena na 100 posjeda. Ono što ih posebno krasi je fokus na Pick & Roll ball handlera, u ligi primaju trenutno daleko najmanje poena u tom segmentu, svega 7.1 PPG(0.704 PPP), igraju odlican pressing na playa, no to ostavalja dosta prostora spot up igračima te u tom dijelu dopustaju najviše šuteva, kao i primljenih poena 43 PPG, iako to ne zvuci bajno 11 su u ligi po spot up PPP. Cole Anthony je ispodprosjecan igrač, 10.2 PPG, 34.1% šut za 2, 28.3% za 3 poena. zavrsnica na obrucu isto kriminalna sa 42.2% učinka. Uglavnom da skratim priču, ima još tu dosta stvari koje mogu iznijet u prilog picku, no ovo su najbitnije. Fournier se vratio, te samim time raspodijelio šuteve po momčadi. S obzirom na sve ne vidim Anthonya preko ove margine. Sretno!
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By The Process1991
#130743
Playmaker wrote:Cole Anthony under 11.5 poena @ 1,83 Bet365

Image

Cole Anthonya i njegov Orlando Magic ocekuje teška borba sa veoma defanzivno orijentiranom ekipom,
Charlotte ove godine igra veoma dobru obranu, trenutno osma obrana lige sa 0.967 PPP. 108.8 primljena poena na 100 posjeda. Ono što ih posebno krasi je fokus na Pick & Roll ball handlera, u ligi primaju trenutno daleko najmanje poena u tom segmentu, svega 7.1 PPG(0.704 PPP), igraju odlican pressing na playa, no to ostavalja dosta prostora spot up igračima te u tom dijelu dopustaju najviše šuteva, kao i primljenih poena 43 PPG, iako to ne zvuci bajno 11 su u ligi po spot up PPP. Cole Anthony je ispodprosjecan igrač, 10.2 PPG, 34.1% šut za 2, 28.3% za 3 poena. zavrsnica na obrucu isto kriminalna sa 42.2% učinka. Uglavnom da skratim priču, ima još tu dosta stvari koje mogu iznijet u prilog picku, no ovo su najbitnije. Fournier se vratio, te samim time raspodijelio šuteve po momčadi. S obzirom na sve ne vidim Anthonya preko ove margine. Sretno!


zadnje dvije tekme je i meni donio novce sa underom nakon vracanja foruniera,jedini minus ovom tipu je taj sto charlotte voli udvajati i duplirati sto samim time znaci da ce sporedni igraci imati vise prostora a dolaskom fournijera dosta napada on uzima u ruke
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By nbaspecialtips
#130770 J.Brown PRA [35.5] over 2u bf/sb@1.83; BOS

-Same bet as the last time with with higher line and smaller stake;
-In the four games without Tatum he is averaging PRA of 38.3 so more than this margin, but more importantly, he is averaging that in only 31 minutes because we saw a two big blowouts.
-With no BO expected, and this not being a B2B game, I expect Brown to play around 35-37 depending on how close the game is and if he keeps his no-Tatum production per minutes, he should easily go over 40 PRA today.
-Boston is coming of 3 losses while Cleveland is coming of 3 wins, two being huge wins over Nets so I think BO shouldn't happen here even though bookies have Boston as favorites today.

D.Lillard PT+AS [40.5] over 1u bf/sb/bet@1,83; POR

-No McCollum so Lillard should have a huge usage rate and if Portland plans to win this one, they will have to go trough him the whole night.
-McCollum wasn't play int he last two seasons (this and last one) he had these PA numbers: 41 against Spurs (blowout); 55 against Dallas; 68 against GSW; 40 against OKC (small BO) and 46 against Miami;
-Also, he played a lot in those games. Last game he would play 40 if there wasn't for blowout;
-Currently he is averaging PA of 35 in 36 minuts. If he plays 40, and we know that McCollum isn't playing (and neither is Nurkic) its safe to assume that he should go over it (maybe on points alone)

R.Hood [10.5] over 1u uni/sb/bf/bet@2.02; POR

-Grat odds and good line for Hood;
-He is the primary beneficiary of McCollum going down with the injury- dude scored just 18 points in 11 games this season and then played 25 in blowout against the Spurs, finishing with 21 points while taking 14 shots;
-He didn't played in the blowout, so if there wasn't for it, he could have maybe played around 30 minutes total and that should be enough to go over this line with McCollum not playing;


J.Randle PRA [38.5] over 1.5u bet365@1.8; NYK

-This bull is averaging PRA of 40.4 so 2 whole points above the line;
-Portland is without Nurkic and Gollum, so they should be much weaker, and in close games Randle can play around 40 minutes because of Tim which should be of huge help here;
-Portland without nurkic as I said, and they are terrible against big guys. They don't have anyone to put in Randle- he will eat Covington in the post, and you can't expect Kanter to do anything usefull as he is terrible in defense overall;
-Last two games Capela and Aldridge (albeit they play centers) torched Portland in the offense and I expect that Zion for poor people of NY will do the same tonight.

E.Fournier PRA [22.5] over 1.5u bet368/neds@1.9; ORL

-Last season he was averaging PRA of 23.3;
-This season he is playing without Fultz and Isaac, so he has a big playmaking duties now which mean a much higher usage rate as we saw in the first 2 games since coming back;
-Gordon is GTD and might miss this game duo to back and hip issues, and if that happens, Fournier will have to do a lot today (both scoring and playmaking as Gordon was used as back up PG when they had none);
-Opponent is a small minus as they can play good defense;

C.Anthony PRA [20.5] under 1u bet365@1.8; ORL

-Averages PRA of 17.9 while taking 10.6 shots on average;
-Since Fournier came back Anthony took only 7 shots in each of the two games (one OT). Based on that, I believe he shouldn't go over 10.5 today, but because points marign is 11.5 and pra is 20.5 I think PRA is much better becausehe should get 9 or less RA (RA average is 7.7, projected is 6.2; with Fournier back his assists numbers should also go down as he handles the ball less);
-Hornets can play good defense on 1-2
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By nbaspecialtips
#130779 G.Hayward PRA [29.5] over 1.25u neds/lads/bet365@1.87; CHA

-Without Gordon, Orlando's defense on 3&4 is much weaker, so I had to wait for him to be out to play this one.
-Hayward playing well this season as expected- he is averaging PRA of 32, so well over this line and should continue in the same direction today as well;
-Should be a close game, so Hayward should be flirting with 40 minutes playing time;

N.Vucevic PT+REB [36.5] over 0.75u; bet365@1.83; ORL

-Gordon isn't playing and there is 25 PR that needs to go somewhere;
-Vucevic should get a good amount of this as he is the starting center;-
-Last two games he played huge minutes: 43 and 36, and I expect him to play 35 min again as this is only the first part of B2B set (he got rested yesterday);
-In last two games he took 27 and 29 shots! He wasn't hitting them well, but still, taking that number of shots is a positive thing because he is a very good scorer, and if he keeps taking them in similar numbers we should hav eno worries today;
-BiyomBo doesn't have any offensive game, and Vucevic can defend him while being close to the rim the whole time which should result in plenty of easy defensive rebounds;
-Took PR instead of PRA because on PRA he is on 5 PRA higher margin, and that is waaay higher than what he averages on assists, so PR on 36.5 should have a much better value than PRA on 31.5;


K.Johnson PRA [23.5] over 0.5u; neds/bet/all@1.87; SAS

-Young fella averaging north of 24 PRA this season;
-Great chance for for over here as Wizards are the fastest team with the second worst defense in the league;
-He is playing well in the recent time- in the last 5 he is averaging almost 26 PRA even though two games were heavy blowouts where he didn't played in th elast quarter (or only played 2-3 min);

If you are gonna wait for news on Capela- if he and Young are playing Collins seems like an easy under duo to match up and possible blowout (he isn't in offer yet). Good luck!