- 28 Oct 2018, 20:59
#108501
Giannis2 wrote:Ayton +17.5 -ukratko ono sta je nba special tips rekao
Curry -29.5 - igraju protiv slabog brooklyna,nebi trebao silovat jer ce bit BO
Povlacim sta sam reko... igra samo malo kad je BO. Ne zavrsava utakmicu i tako to... Sad sam bas gledao play by play i vidim da sam se zajebao (a mislio sam da je igrao sve jer juce kad sam ga provjeravao imao je 2 poena i skoro BO, kad ono kasnije vidim ima preko 20 poena).
D.Jordan [13,5] UNDER 2/10 (bet365@1,91) Dallas
A risky play when you take everything in consideration, but it should pay off. Jordan started season well, averaging 16 and 14, but also to add- he was going against the worst teams when it comes to defense in the post- Suns, Minnesota (140 points), Bulls, Atlanta and Toronto (he was going against Valanciunas instead of Ibaka). Tonight he is going to have a first real challenge this season. He is going against Ruby Gobert who wont be allowing easy points in offense, someone who shouldnt make stupid fouls, doesnt allow easy pnr points, doesnt allow many offensive rebounds etc.
Gobert went 12 times against Jordan (Jordan was playing for Clippers at this time) in the regular season and Jordan doesnt have a single over on this margin. When it comes to playoff games he has 3/5 unders, but you have to hav ein mind that in those he was playing close to 40 points in each because it was PO. Tonight, against Utah, we shouldnt see too many points- game is projected at ONLY 210 points which should be a plus here. Also, Barnes is back and he will be taking his portion of shots- which was 19 in the last game.
D.Smith [14,5] UNDER 2,5/10 (betf/padd/sb@2,0) Dallas
Smith is coming back from injury and is GTD. Because of this he shouldnt play more than 30 minutes. He is losing his status in offense with Doncic showing his current ability, and with Barnes coming back Smith's usage rate should take even a bigger drop. He has terrible stats when it comes to shooting- in this season he is at 37,5% and 31,3% for the 3pt; but because this is only 4 games for him I will also write his stats from the last season: 39,5% from the game, only 31,3% for the 3pt and less than 70% from the FT line. Terrible stats for a PG and it seems like he is continuing with this in the new season. He shouldnt be taking many shots tonight, and if he has his normal shooting % we should have an easy win here.
He is going against Utah, which is maybe even the best defense in the league right now. They dont play with fast pace, so not many points are expected here- only 213.
D.Schroder [14,5] OVER 2/10 (betf/padd/sb@1,8) OKC
I think this has a small value if Westbrook plays, but if he doesnt- this seems like a best bet of the night. Westbrook is GTD, he didnt train last time because shoulder soreness and might not play tonight- which would be great for our bet. If he does play- SChroder should still be getting decent minutes- around 30 and will be taking his shots because he will be leading the second unit where he has much bigger freedom. OKC wasnt really good in offense this season- in these 4 games they scored on average 101 points. Tonight they are expected at around 116 points which is higher than what is their usual number this season so this should be a plus.
They are going against maybe even the worst defensive team in the league- Suns. What is a big positive here- even if there is a BO, SChroder should be getting majority of his minutes (if he goes as a 6th man).
(+ http://prntscr.com/lbgfrl al ovo ne racunam posto je ovo bio multi za zajebanciju)
